The L-Word: Why Undecideds Will Break for Obama in Bigger Numbers Than You Think

All the talk over the past few days has been about the accuracy of polls (tracking, exit, etc.), expected turnout, and the potential size of the Bradley Effect. There's another point that I haven't really heard talked about. I'll call it the "Historical Significance Effect." That is, as it looks increasingly likely that Barack Obama will win the election, will remaining undecided voters want to tell their future children and grandchildren that they voted against the first African American President? Late-deciders have based their votes on much more trivial things.